Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000252 0.000283 0.000316 0.000354 0.000397 0.000445 0.000501
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000192 0.000234 0.000284 0.000347 0.000426 0.000521 0.000645
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000205 0.000265 0.000346 0.000454 0.000595 0.000793
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000181 0.000246 0.000339 0.000470 0.000651 0.000922
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000118 0.000168 0.000238 0.000343 0.000500 0.000727 0.001086
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000157 0.000230 0.000346 0.000526 0.000799 0.001254
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000140 0.000212 0.000331 0.000522 0.000824 0.001350
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000132 0.000206 0.000332 0.000543 0.000891 0.001522
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000129 0.000208 0.000347 0.000587 0.000999 0.001778
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000120 0.000198 0.000339 0.000593 0.001042 0.001924
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000109 0.000184 0.000323 0.000581 0.001051 0.002006
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000104 0.000181 0.000326 0.000603 0.001126 0.002226
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000103 0.000184 0.000341 0.000651 0.001256 0.002581
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000097 0.000176 0.000336 0.000659 0.001312 0.002794
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000092 0.000171 0.000335 0.000677 0.001389 0.003063
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000086 0.000164 0.000328 0.000681 0.001437 0.003277
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000083 0.000162 0.000332 0.000709 0.001540 0.003634
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000080 0.000159 0.000335 0.000733 0.001640 0.004000
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000074 0.000149 0.000320 0.000717 0.001642 0.004122
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000071 0.000147 0.000322 0.000738 0.001737 0.004500
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000071 0.000150 0.000336 0.000791 0.001915 0.005133
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000067 0.000144 0.000329 0.000791 0.001963 0.005414
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000062 0.000134 0.000313 0.000768 0.001946 0.005506